Cyclone Melissa Grows Stronger As It Heads Towards the Island Nation
Hurricane the storm is predicted to strengthen into a infrequent Category 5 cyclone as it shifts in the direction of Jamaica, delivering deadly flash flooding and mudslides.
The hurricane, which registered wind speeds of up to 120 mph as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is presently veering northwest in the Caribbean Sea and is anticipated to make landfall by midweek, based on data from weather experts.
Warnings of blackouts and damage to infrastructure have been issued as the hurricane brings up to 30 inches of rainfall and sea level surges as high as 13ft above typical tides. "Seek shelter now," inhabitants have been urged.
Melissa is the thirteenth hurricane in the ongoing Atlantic hurricane season, which typically ends in the eleventh month.
Category Five Storm Risk
A highest-level cyclone is the most intense classification, with sustained winds of at least 252 km/h.
While the hurricane is projected to weaken to a fourth-level storm before making landfall on Jamaica, experts said there was "minimal real distinction in the total effects" upon making contact with land, and that the cyclone will be "equally strong" when it impacts the nation.
Urgent Preparations
With tropical storm-level wind and rainfall already expected ahead of it passes over central Jamaica - possibly even the capital, Kingston - warnings indicate that "preparations should be rushed to completion".
"Several days of destructive gusts and heavy rainfall are underway and will cause devastating and dangerous rapid water accumulation and multiple mudslides," counseled meteorological officials.
The nation's leader Andrew Holness commented: "I realize that there are countless citizens who are worried, who are deeply troubled, and rightfully so: concern is justified.
"However the best way to address nervousness and any nervousness and concern is to be prepared."
Residents are being instructed to secure their homes with sand barriers and timber panels, and to gather essentials.
Wider Impact
Alerts are also active for parts of Haiti such as the main city, Port au Prince, the neighboring country and eastern Cuba, where the hurricane is anticipated to bring comparable impacts by the middle of next week.
Rock slides already being caused by the cyclone have caused two deaths in the country, according to emergency services.
Future Trajectory
Melissa is predicted to pass over Cuba by Wednesday before passing across the Greater Antilles and emerging into the Atlantic.
By the time it arrives at Cuba, it is forecast to have weakened to a third-level storm.
Weather Background
Although it is challenging to connect individual weather events to environmental shifts, experts say it is resulting in meteorological events more common and more extreme.
Warmer oceans produce additional humidity in the atmosphere, contributing to the creation of hurricanes.
Ahead of the commencement of this season's Atlantic hurricane season, climate agencies forecast higher-than-average occurrence, referencing heated marine conditions and possible stronger monsoon activity around African coastal regions - where tropical systems frequently develop.